Monday, October 04, 2010

A Loose End

Time to check back on one of my crackpot theories, and see whether those 'predictive streaks' I obsessed on in the early part of the season actually predicted anything.

Back in this post I listed out the 'streak' days of each NL team and how each team did on those days.

The Marlins, Braves, Reds, Cardinals, Diamondbacks, Dodgers, Giants and Padres were the only teams that gave unambiguous results in their streak games. Of those 8 teams' streak results, 6 of them pointed towards those teams' eventual win/loss records. The two that didn't were the Padres, whose two losses in their streak games didn't stop them from ending up 18 games over .500 (and almost in the playoffs), and unfortunately the Marlins, whose April 10th predictive streak had lasted since 1996 but came up the wrong way this year.

The streak that continues to fascinate is the one on May 25 with the Dodgers, because it has gone on since 1994 (or 1990 depending on how you look at it), and because on May 25 when the streak predicted a losing year the Dodgers were 5 games above .500 and would eventually get to 12 games over before ultimately ending the year 80-82.

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