Wednesday, October 28, 2009

Mathematician Says Hanley Should Be NL MVP

"(Bruce) Bukiet’s method uses 2009 regular season stats for each player on each team’s roster. He then applies a mathematical model known as the Markov Process to predict the number of runs.

"To determine MVP and Cy Young winners, he considers how many extra wins each player would have contributed to a team of otherwise all average players in his league based on his performance during the regular season.

"For hitters, this involves quantifying each player’s offensive performance in the Markov model in comparison to others who play the same position....

"In the National League, Bukiet, an associate dean of math at New Jersey Institute of Technology, says Florida Marlins shortstop Hanley Ramirez deserves the MVP award, contributing 5.6 extra wins, while the Cardinals' Albert Pujols is close behind at 5.4 extra wins."

He also predics the Yankees have a 70 percent chance to win the series. This will be checkable in a few days. (stltoday)

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