Monday, June 20, 2005

Is Juan Pierre The Linchpin of The Team?

Because of stories such as this one concerning Pierre's slump and how he's considered the "key in the ignition" of the Marlins' offense, I took a look in David Pinto's Day by Day Database and compared Pierre's at bats this year with this year's Marlins wins and losses.

First thing I noticed just by scanning his hits' list was the drop-off in hits since about the first month of the season. In fact, from Opening Day to April 29th, Pierre was hittng .307, with .354 OBA, a Slugging Precentage of .420, and a OPS of .775. Since then it's been .225 BA, .270 OBA, .281 Slug%, and .551 OPS.

Then I tried to compare his daily hit totals to whether the Marlins won or lost that day (by eyeballing two different charts side-by-side, so hopefully I didn't screw up too badly). What I found was this: in the 21 games Pierre started when he didn't get a hit, the Marlins won 8, for about a .391 win percentage. In the 24 games he started in which he only got one hit, the Marlins won 10, for a .417 win percentage. But here's the fun (or at least interesting) part - in the 16 games where he has 2 hits or better, the Marlins have won 14 of them (.875!). And just in his 2-hit games, the Fish have won 11-out-of-12.

Some other interesting tidbits: On games in which he hasn't started, he has gone 3-for-5....He's only walked 13 times this year, but in those 11 games (in 2 games he walked twice) the Marlins have won 7....And in the 5 games in which he was hit by a pitch, the Marlins won 4....Oddly, in the game when he got his highest hit total - 5 hits - the Marlins lost to the Rockies at home 8-3 on May 8.

MORE: Maverick wonders how long the front office is going to put up with Pierre' slump. (MaverickBall)

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